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Government Reopening: What It Means for the Mortgage Industry

After weeks of uncertainty, the federal government has finally reopened, giving the mortgage industry room to catch its breath. But while loan agencies are back at work, the process of returning to “normal” is taking time—and buyers, sellers, and mortgage professionals are navigating a market that’s still finding its footing.[1][2][3]

Backlogged Agencies and Slow Loan Processing

The most immediate effect is that federal mortgage agencies—like FHA, USDA, and VA—have resumed operations. This reactivates essential checks, approvals, and insurance needed for a huge number of transactions. However, the shutdown created a weeks-long pileup of files, so borrowers are experiencing slowdowns as staff work through stacks of deferred applications. Experts expect that for every day the government was shut, there will be a comparable delay in processing time.[2][1]

  • FHA, VA, USDA, and flood insurance transactions are slowly returning to normal but expect multi-week delays as agencies process backlogs.[1]
  • Rate lock windows and closing deadlines may be tight or frequently adjusted, so proactive communication is crucial for buyers and sellers.[2]

Mortgage Rates and Trends After Reopening

Mortgage rates have remained relatively stable as the government resumed operations, though some volatility is possible as delayed economic data is released and the Federal Reserve weighs future rate decisions. As of November 15, 2025, the average 30-year fixed rate sits between 6.07% and 6.24%, while 15-year rates average about 5.50%–5.63%.[4][5][6][7][8][9]

Loan Type Average Rate (Nov 15, 2025)
30-year fixed 6.07%–6.24% [4][6][7][8][9]
15-year fixed  5.50%–5.63% [5][10][7][8] 
30-year FHA~6.10% [4][8] 
30-year VA~5.58% [8] 
30-year jumbo~6.46%–6.52% [4][10]

Mortgage applications are rebounding as pent-up demand moves through the system, but experts warn higher inflation readings could still push rates up if the Treasury market reacts strongly to incoming economic data.[11][12][13]

Market Sentiment and Buyer Behavior

  • The shutdown made 45% of Americans less likely to make big purchases like homes or cars.[3]
  • Home sales are forecasted to rebound sharply for 2026, potentially rising by 14% nationwide as pent-up demand is unleashed.[11]
  • Inventory (active listings) is up notably year-over-year, giving buyers more choices.[14]

Long-Term Outlook and New Proposals

Housing affordability remains a top concern. President Trump has proposed a new 50-year fixed mortgage to lower monthly payments, though buyers would pay much more in interest over time. There’s also talk of “mortgage portability,” allowing homeowners to take their existing low-rate mortgage with them when moving—a move that could boost mobility and market activity.[2]

  • Both proposals are under review, but face technical and legal hurdles that may slow their adoption.[2]

Final Takeaway

The mortgage industry is in recovery mode as government agencies work through delays. Rates remain stable heading into Thanksgiving, but economic data and policy changes could bring more shifts ahead. Buyers, sellers, and lenders should expect a busy—but uncertain—holiday season as the backlog clears and market conditions stabilize.[9][4][3][1][2]



1.    https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/mortgage-rates-november-13-2025    
2.    https://www.realtor.com/news/real-estate-news/shutdown-over-housing-effects-weekly-housing-market-update-november-14-2025/      
3.    https://www.mpamag.com/us/mortgage-industry/industry-trends/shutdown-impact-lingers-on-mortgage-industry-despite-government-reopening/556708   
4.    https://fortune.com/article/current-mortgage-rates-11-14-2025/     
5.    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/todays-mortgage-interest-rates-november-14-2025/  
6.    https://finance.yahoo.com/personal-finance/mortgages/article/mortgage-refinance-interest-rates-today-saturday-november-15-2025-110020574.html  
7.    https://themortgagereports.com/mortgage-rates-now/mortgage-rates-today-november-14-2025   
8.    https://www.nerdwallet.com/mortgages/mortgage-rates 
9.    https://www.wsj.com/buyside/personal-finance/mortgage/mortgage-rates-today-11-14-2025   
10.    https://www.bankrate.com/mortgages/analysis/mortgage-rates-november-12-2025/ 
11.    https://www.nar.realtor/magazine/real-estate-news/economy/housing-market-set-for-a-2026-comeback-nar-predicts 
12.    https://www.wolfnest.com/blog/market-updates-november-2025
13.    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/mortgage-rates-look-come-government-151106956.html 

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